Blade Runner 2049, an adult-skewing, R-rated sci-fi drama, earned $92m domestic and $259m worldwide. Blade Runner 2049 earned $15.1 million in its second weekend of domestic release. And not to be outdone, earned just $5.65 million (-46%) in its second weekend. Harrison Ford and Ryan Gosling in 'Blade Runner 2049'. I was bullish about Blade Runner 2049âs chances for a number of reasons. That is not to say that Dune is doomed, but that the film’s conception and marketing will have to find a way to appeal to folks who haven’t heard of Dune or don’t care about Dune. Each winner will get a Frankenprize that is either Halloween Treat, a Horror film plus another prize, or a Halloween Trick, a movie so bad it is scary it was made plus another prize. Overall, the box office fell 21% from last weekend to just $75 million. Year-to-date, 2017 is 5.1% or $440 million behind 2016 at $8.19 billion to $8.64 billion. Once again, this one isn’t doing very well, which is doubly concerning for Warner Bros. as LEGO movies haven’t thus far broken out overseas. Whoever comes the closest to predicting the filmâs opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going over, will win a Frankenprize, as described above. Whoever comes the closest to predicting the filmâs opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going under, will also win a Frankenprize, as described above. Then Friday happened. Then there are the two semi-wide releases, The Snowman and Same Kind of Different as Me. They may or may not open in the top ten. It's another case of conventional wisdom about what makes money being more powerful than what actually makes money. The LEGO Ninjago Movie earned $4.315 million (-38%) in its fourth weekend for a $51.577m 24-day total. Earning a B would be bad for most movies, but horror films routinely fall in the C range, as horror fans tend to be very negative. No, Warner Bros./Time Warner Inc. didn't put up that money (it's an Alcon Entertainment/Sony production), but to the extent that overseas box office still follows domestic box office (more than you think), this does not bode well for its overseas haul. More... Blade Runner 2049 pulled in $4 million in previews on Thursday night. I have extensively written about all of said subjects for the last 11 years. Because there are so many new releases coming out this week, one or two of them are practically guaranteed to slip between the cracks. I have extensively written about all of said subjects for the last 11 years. It’s not like folks have been clamoring for The Paul Atreides Story. Speaking of Sony, the second factor is the specific lesson of Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle. This isn’t to say that Dune is automatically doomed, although the odds are not in its favor. Their ensemble value notwithstanding, they may only be of value if the heroes and villains of Dune are remotely household names. A lot of people thought it had a shot at $50 million this weekend but now $35 million is likely out of reach. This did not happen. Pleasing even half of the opening day audience is impressive. Because of that, it is the only real choice for the target film in this weekâs box office prediction contest. I’m tired of having that conversation (RIP –, EY & Citi On The Importance Of Resilience And Innovation, Impact 50: Investors Seeking Profit — And Pushing For Change. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle was cheap enough to not have to break records. Compare this performance with other movies…. Nominees in Italics are those that have received the most votes from our readers so far in our Oscar contest (which is open to new entries until noon, Pacific, todayâenter now!). Happy Death Day led the weekend, as expected, but did so with a surprisingly strong $26.04 million. If 2017 does win in the year-over-year comparison, then it will be on the back of Blade Runner 2049. In particular, we adjust weekly sales figures for the quarter once the total market estimates are published by the Digital Entertainment Group. movie. That would be around $81m adjusted for inflation, although the budget would be around $105m in 2019. I thought this would be a really busy weekend with Blade Runner 2049 repeating in first place and four wide releases competing for spots in the top five. It will likely earn more over the weekend than any of the other three films earn in total. Overall, the box office fell 6.5% from last week to $95 million. Its reviews were over 90% positive. I’m sure Lionsgate will make money from the film, but we’re not seeing the glorious birth of a new animated franchise. And not to be outdone, Annabelle: Creation crossed $300m worldwide this weekend. This is likely more than it cost to make and advertise, at least initially. Bold films are those films I think will win. That film went out of its way in terms of casting (Dwayne Johnson, Kevin Hart, Jack Black and Karen Gillan), concept (kids trapped in a video game) and marketing to make sure it looked appealing even to folks with zero interest in the Jumanji IP. This weekend last year, The Girl on the Train opened with $24.54 million. Full financial estimates for this film, including domestic and international box office, video sales, video rentals, TV and ancillary revenue Before that, letâs take a last look at the nominations with a few annotations. For example, gorehounds will hate anything without enough blood, but torture porn will turn off even more fans. All Rights Reserved, This is a BETA experience. $33 million is more likely at this point. Year-to-date, 2017 continues to struggle with a running tally of $8.57 billion. Blade Runner 2049 is widely expected to be the biggest hit of the month, but it is the only film expected to reach $100 million domestically. Universal/Comcast Corp.’s American Made grossed $5.423m (-36%) in its third weekend, which is a solid hold. I've studied the film industry, both academically and informally, and with an emphasis in box office analysis, for nearly 30 years. International Box Office: Never Say Die Comes Alive with $66.28 million, Contest: Sharp as a Blade: Winning Announcement. The record holder for October is Gravity, but it opened in 2013, before previews were a major thing, so we canât compare its $1.4 million in previews. The only other film to top $10 million was Geostorm with $13.71 million, but it lived up to its disaster genre due to its $100 million production budget. I've studied the film industry, both academically and informally, and with an emphasis in box office analysis, for nearly 30 years. So yeah, especially if Murder on the Orient Express or The Greatest Showman stumble, we can expect a Kingsman 3. Its trailers had created positive buzz, the early reviews were very favorable, and there was little by way of competition. At a glance, the film should cross $327m (making it, adjusted for inflation, bigger than, among big-scale scary movies) and may end its run just over/under the $330m domestic total of, . Thatâs way too many and most will be buried by the competition. The Mountain Between Us looks more and more like busted Oscar-bait. Think Kick-Ass (which did an okay $98 million worldwide), Scott Pilgrim Vs. the World, Dredd, John Carter, Edge of Tomorrow (which earned a fine $370m worldwide but with a $175m budget) or Blade Runner 2049. Its reviews have fallen from just over 70% positive to under 50% positive. This film also dominated South Korea earning $12.00 million on 1,639 screens over the weekend for a total opening of $15.87 million. We will announce the winners and have our reactions as they happen, while keeping track of how our readers did in predicting the outcomes. The film is on track to top Kung Fu Yoga as the biggest comedy hit in China. Now that’s a pie-in-the-sky scenario for any movie, but the cause-and-effect lesson still applies. earned $4.315 million (-38%) in its fourth weekend for a $51.577m 24-day total. (Needless to say, some of the predictions below will be a little short, as thereâs not much to say about a film that will barely open in the top ten and disappear two weeks later.) The consumer spending estimate is based on the average sales price for the title in the retailers we survey. The box office really needed to be eating into the deficit during the month of October, but that hasnât been the case. Itâs Oscar night and we will be live blogging the show. Weekend Predictions: Can Blade Runner Sprint to the Finish? What is important is the total lack of quality DVD and Blu-ray releases. However, this is actually a good thing, as there are several smaller releases that get a chance to shine and there are several Pick of the Week contenders as a result. Our DVD and Blu-ray sales estimates are based on weekly retail surveys, which we use to build a weekly market share estimate for each title we are tracking. International Box Office: Never Say Die Falls, but Still Wins with $30 million, Weekend Wrap-Up: Death Day Made the Box Office Happy with $26.04 million, Weekend Estimates: Young Women Power Death Day to Victory, Friday Estimates: Friday was a Happy, Happy Day as Death Pulled in $11.6 million. They do this every year and no one has been able to adequately explain why to me. The, $50m Tom Cruise drama now has a $40.1m 17-day domestic cume and $112m worldwide. Compared to this weekend last year, 2017 was down 25%. EY & Citi On The Importance Of Resilience And Innovation, Impact 50: Investors Seeking Profit — And Pushing For Change. There is a long history of movies that were much buzzed-about online only to play to comparatively empty theaters. I've studied the film industry, both academically and informally, and with an emphasis in box office analysis, for nearly 30 years. will be able to topple Pennywise from its arbitrary perch. Even The Martianâs $2.5 million previews isnât a great comparison. More... Thor: Ragnarok got its international start off with a bang dominating the market with $107.6 million in 36 markets during its opening weekend of release. To the extent that Harrison Ford hasn’t been much of a draw outside of Star Wars and Indiana Jones since 2000 and Ryan Gosling isn’t an opener, the pitch was basically “Hey, it’s another Blade Runner!” It was so expensive that it had to sell vastly more tickets than the original Blade Runner and become Ford’s biggest non-Han Solo/Indy hit just to break even. There are five films opening wide or semi-wide this week, but only one of them, Tyler Perryâs Boo 2: A Madea Halloween, has a real shot at top spot. My outlets for film criticism, box office commentary, and film-skewing scholarship have included The Huffington Post, Salon, and Film Threat. However, last weekend, Blade Runner 2049 missed expectations, so it wonât dominate the chart this weekend. In order to win, one must simply predict the opening three-day weekend box office number for Happy Death Day.
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